The Final Innings: A 2013 Fractal and the Nvidia Earnings Clock
MARKET SITUATION REPORT
Executive Summary
Last week, SHORTS got squeezed out of the water. Given how subdued the market had become following our Comrade Leopold’s fund being blown out, the rebound which followed was equally violent and one to behold. The core setup across the board is now that of a “Short-Squeeze” which is bound to cause New All Time High’s in NAS100. We already witnessed New All Time Highs in SPX500, it’s only a matter of time before NAS100 catches up. The market sits on a stack of confirmed long triggers with a very specific destination overhead. The key central question which we want to answer in this session is this:
If the bottom is already confirmed and the melt-up is effectively scheduled, what do you do when you also know roughly when the music stops?
Because this bottom was not guessed. It was confirmed, step by step. The rule was set in advance: after the final flush, reclaim the FOMC swing high at 27,982 and the bottoming is real. It happened the very next day in the New York session. Then the weekly candle closed back inside the failed pattern’s range, stacking long triggers across the daily, weekly, 3-week, and 3-month timeframes at once. And a fractal from June 2013, tracking for three weeks now, says sequences like this one end in what the host calls a full bazooka candle: a straight run to all-time highs.
The engine underneath it all is a single company. Nvidia controls NASDAQ. SoftBank follows Nvidia with a lag, and SoftBank controls Nikkei. Four markets, one flywheel, moving together with no middle ground. The fuse is dated: Nvidia reports earnings on August 26, and every hyperscaler capex announcement from Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft is being pre-priced into the stock right now. The host’s bet is blunt: after that print, the market sells off regardless of the numbers. Add a wickless monthly candle on the S&P 500 with an open inefficiency at 7,500 sitting beneath a 7,900 upside target, and this melt-up comes with a countdown clock and a hedging plan.
Which is where the real payoff of this stream sits. Not in chasing the last leg of an index rally the whole street can now see, but in where the capital goes once those targets are met. An asset in a confirmed bear market, down 30% from its January peak and left for dead, has quietly fired the single consolidation signal the host trusts most, and its miners are already sprinting ahead of it. What looks like a dead market today is loading what he calls the strongest kind of long trade that exists, but the confirmation window is still open. The full swing trade card, entry, stop, target, and a 4.43-to-1 reward-to-risk, waits in the final section.
Key takeaways from this week’s session:
The bottom was confirmed, post FOMC: Once the 27,982 FOMC swing high reclaimed, then a weekly close back above 29,062 confirmed a long trigger to target New All Time Highs.
A June 2013 NAS100 fractal has tracked this sequence for three weeks and this only ends with a bazooka candle to All-Time Highs. This could transpire this week or next week.
The flywheel: Nvidia drives NASDAQ, SoftBank follows Nvidia, SoftBank drives Nikkei; all four move together and they will continue to do so until NVDA reports earnings on August 26th, 2026.
S&P 500 Target is at roughly 7,900. NVDA Rallies → NAS100 Rallies → SPX500 rallies. Let’s keep it simple, shall we?
Protection is scheduled: Once NVDA earnings is out of the way, protection puts will be opened for September end expiration October puts.
The sector book: PANW held past its $368 target, strongest name in Tech. Google turning bearish, long position exited as Inside weekly candle failure pattern triggered downside momentum to unfold. Stick with the strongest sectors: Software (IGV), Cybersecurity (BUG), Quantum (QTUM) and Chips sector (SMH). Avoid Magnificent 7 (Thanks Google and META) and Communications (META)
The Trap Machine: How This Bottom Was Confirmed
Sentiment Changes in a Snap
The market is an incredible discounting machine and it has the smelling power of a bloodhound. Once it is obvious who is trapped, market doesn’t waste time to go hunting for that trapped entity as quickly as possible. Complacent longs get flushed before
